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Freiburg vs Paderborn Prediction & Win Probability

Freiburg has a 60% chance to win.
Bundesliga
Fri, Jan 29, 2027 · 2:30 PM GMT
Bundesliga
Freiburg
6-1-2Rating 1824
Form: WWLLW
vs
Model Probability
60%
Draw 23%
18%
Bundesliga
Paderborn
2-4-3Rating 1715
Form: DDWDL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Paderborn

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%1.0%1.7%13.1%3.0%
If Win <1%2.7%2.9%8.1%1.1%
If Draw <1%1.2%1.5%11.9%2.6%
If Lose <1%<1%1.2%16.1%3.7%

Freiburg

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 1.3%51.5%16.2%<1%<1%
If Win 1.1%57.5%15.6%<1%<1%
If Draw <1%47.2%16.7%<1%<1%
If Lose <1%39.6%15.9%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

FreiburgStatPaderborn
9Games played9
2.2Avg goals scored0.9
1.1Avg goals conceded1.2
67% / 11% / 22%Win / Draw / Loss22% / 44% / 33%
80% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
FreiburgStatPaderborn
2All-time wins (5 meetings, 1 draws)2
2Last 5 meetings (1 draws)2
1.2Average goals1.2
Last meeting (2026-09-05): Paderborn 0–1 Freiburg