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Bundesliga
Sat, Apr 24, 2027 · 2:30 PM BST

Dortmund vs RB Leipzig Prediction & Win Probability

Dortmund has a 59% chance to win.

4-0-0 · Rating 1916
Form: WWWWW
VS
2-0-2 · Rating 1813
Form: LWLWL
Model Probability
59%
18%
Draw 23%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

RB Leipzig

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%26.1%12.7%1.7%<1%
If Win 1.1%35.0%14.4%<1%<1%
If Draw <1%26.6%13.6%1.6%<1%
If Lose <1%22.9%11.9%2.0%<1%

Dortmund

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 16.4%89.8%4.4%<1%<1%
If Win 18.6%93.7%3.1%<1%<1%
If Draw 14.5%90.1%4.4%<1%<1%
If Lose 12.2%87.3%4.9%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

DortmundStatRB Leipzig
4Games played4
2.2Avg goals scored2.2
0.5Avg goals conceded1.2
100% / 0% / 0%Win / Draw / Loss50% / 0% / 50%
100% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
DortmundStatRB Leipzig
8All-time wins (20 meetings, 4 draws)8
1Last 5 meetings (2 draws)2
1.6Average goals1.8
Last meeting (2026-02-21): RB Leipzig 2–2 Dortmund