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La Liga
Sun, Dec 20, 2026 · 4:00 PM GMT

Alaves vs Elche Prediction & Win Probability

Alaves has a 49% chance to win.

3-2-2 · Rating 1854
Form: DLLWW
VS
1-2-4 · Rating 1823
Form: WLDLL
Model Probability
49%
25%
Draw 26%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Elche

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%6.1%4.6%17.4%
If Win <1%11.0%6.1%10.5%
If Draw <1%6.3%4.6%15.9%
If Lose <1%3.4%2.8%20.9%

Alaves

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%23.6%10.0%3.1%
If Win <1%31.0%9.7%2.3%
If Draw <1%20.1%10.6%3.7%
If Lose <1%15.8%8.7%5.4%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

AlavesStatElche
7Games played7
1.6Avg goals scored1.6
0.9Avg goals conceded2.4
43% / 29% / 29%Win / Draw / Loss14% / 29% / 57%
75% Home win % / Away win % 25%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
AlavesStatElche
3All-time wins (6 meetings, 1 draws)2
3Last 5 meetings (1 draws)1
1.3Average goals1.2
Last meeting (2026-05-09): Elche 1–1 Alaves