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La Liga
Sun, Dec 20, 2026 · 4:00 PM GMT

Barcelona vs Real Sociedad Prediction & Win Probability

Barcelona has a 77% chance to win.

7-0-0 · Rating 2085
Form: WWWWW
VS
3-1-3 · Rating 1832
Form: WLWDW
Model Probability
77%
8%
Draw 14%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Real Sociedad

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%17.6%8.7%6.0%
If Win <1%26.4%11.0%3.0%
If Draw <1%18.8%8.5%4.9%
If Lose <1%15.2%8.2%6.5%

Barcelona

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 83.7%99.9%<1%<1%
If Win 82.0%99.9%<1%<1%
If Draw 76.8%99.7%<1%<1%
If Lose 71.0%99.7%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

BarcelonaStatReal Sociedad
7Games played7
4.4Avg goals scored1.3
1.0Avg goals conceded1.9
100% / 0% / 0%Win / Draw / Loss43% / 14% / 43%
100% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
BarcelonaStatReal Sociedad
21All-time wins (32 meetings, 3 draws)8
3Last 5 meetings (0 draws)2
2.2Average goals1.1
Last meeting (2026-01-18): Real Sociedad 2–1 Barcelona