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Sun, Mar 21, 2027 · 4:00 PM GMT

Real Sociedad vs Alaves Prediction & Win Probability

Real Sociedad has a 41% chance to win.

3-1-3 · Rating 1832
Form: WLWDW
VS
3-2-2 · Rating 1854
Form: DLLWW
Model Probability
41%
31%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Alaves

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%24.1%10.5%3.9%
If Win <1%30.6%11.3%1.9%
If Draw <1%24.0%10.1%3.3%
If Lose <1%17.1%8.8%4.8%

Real Sociedad

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%16.4%9.8%5.4%
If Win <1%20.7%10.6%3.5%
If Draw <1%14.5%7.5%6.3%
If Lose <1%11.3%6.6%9.1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Real SociedadStatAlaves
7Games played7
1.3Avg goals scored1.6
1.9Avg goals conceded0.9
43% / 14% / 43%Win / Draw / Loss43% / 29% / 29%
33% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Real SociedadStatAlaves
8All-time wins (18 meetings, 4 draws)6
1Last 5 meetings (1 draws)3
1.3Average goals0.8
Last meeting (2026-04-11): Real Sociedad 3–3 Alaves