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Real Sociedad vs Alaves Prediction & Win Probability

Real Sociedad has a 48% chance to win.
La Liga
Sun, Mar 21, 2027 · 4:00 PM GMT
La Liga
Real Sociedad
7-1-4Rating 1855
Form: WLWWW
vs
Model Probability
48%
Draw 27%
26%
La Liga
Alaves
3-4-5Rating 1832
Form: DLDLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Alaves

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%5.8%6.7%8.1%
If Win <1%8.9%8.8%4.8%
If Draw <1%5.1%7.0%7.6%
If Lose <1%3.1%5.0%9.5%

Real Sociedad

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%43.1%16.9%<1%
If Win <1%51.7%16.3%<1%
If Draw <1%41.7%16.6%<1%
If Lose <1%34.2%16.1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Real SociedadStatAlaves
12Games played12
1.8Avg goals scored1.2
1.7Avg goals conceded1.4
58% / 8% / 33%Win / Draw / Loss25% / 33% / 42%
67% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Real SociedadStatAlaves
8All-time wins (18 meetings, 4 draws)6
1Last 5 meetings (1 draws)3
1.3Average goals0.8
Last meeting (2026-04-11): Real Sociedad 3–3 Alaves