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Sun, Apr 4, 2027 · 4:00 PM BST

Real Madrid vs Atl. Madrid Prediction & Win Probability

Real Madrid has a 54% chance to win.

5-0-2 · Rating 2014
Form: LWWLW
VS
5-1-1 · Rating 1949
Form: WWWLW
Model Probability
54%
21%
Draw 25%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Atl. Madrid

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 4.2%85.2%5.1%<1%
If Win 6.4%90.7%4.0%<1%
If Draw 3.9%87.2%4.5%<1%
If Lose 3.5%84.4%5.5%<1%

Real Madrid

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 13.3%95.9%1.7%<1%
If Win 15.3%97.1%1.3%<1%
If Draw 10.9%95.8%1.8%<1%
If Lose 8.9%94.5%2.5%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Real MadridStatAtl. Madrid
7Games played7
2.6Avg goals scored2.3
1.1Avg goals conceded1.0
71% / 0% / 29%Win / Draw / Loss71% / 14% / 14%
100% Home win % / Away win % 67%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Real MadridStatAtl. Madrid
14All-time wins (34 meetings, 12 draws)8
1Last 5 meetings (2 draws)2
1.5Average goals1.1
Last meeting (2026-09-20): Atl. Madrid 2–1 Real Madrid