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Real Madrid vs Atl. Madrid Prediction & Win Probability

Real Madrid has a 58% chance to win.
La Liga
Sun, Apr 4, 2027 · 4:00 PM BST
La Liga
Real Madrid
10-0-2Rating 2059
Form: WWWWW
vs
Model Probability
58%
Draw 23%
18%
La Liga
Atl. Madrid
9-1-2Rating 1960
Form: LWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Atl. Madrid

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 2.7%96.7%1.8%<1%
If Win 5.5%98.5%1.1%<1%
If Draw 2.2%97.4%1.5%<1%
If Lose 1.4%97.2%1.8%<1%

Real Madrid

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 27.1%99.9%<1%<1%
If Win 30.8%100.0%<1%<1%
If Draw 23.9%99.9%<1%<1%
If Lose 18.2%99.8%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Real MadridStatAtl. Madrid
12Games played12
2.6Avg goals scored1.9
0.8Avg goals conceded0.8
83% / 0% / 17%Win / Draw / Loss75% / 8% / 17%
100% Home win % / Away win % 83%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Real MadridStatAtl. Madrid
14All-time wins (34 meetings, 12 draws)8
1Last 5 meetings (2 draws)2
1.5Average goals1.1
Last meeting (2026-09-20): Atl. Madrid 2–1 Real Madrid