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Rayo Vallecano vs Villarreal Prediction & Win Probability

Rayo Vallecano has a 38% chance to win.
La Liga
Sun, May 2, 2027 · 4:00 PM BST
La Liga
Rayo Vallecano
3-4-5Rating 1816
Form: LWLDD
vs
Model Probability
38%
Draw 28%
34%
La Liga
Villarreal
4-3-5Rating 1859
Form: WLWDL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Villarreal

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%17.1%12.9%2.2%
If Win <1%21.2%14.0%1.1%
If Draw <1%16.0%13.0%2.2%
If Lose <1%11.9%11.5%3.4%

Rayo Vallecano

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%4.7%5.3%10.4%
If Win <1%6.1%6.8%7.5%
If Draw <1%4.0%5.2%12.1%
If Lose <1%2.2%3.3%12.9%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Rayo VallecanoStatVillarreal
12Games played12
1.2Avg goals scored1.4
1.8Avg goals conceded1.2
25% / 33% / 42%Win / Draw / Loss33% / 25% / 42%
50% Home win % / Away win % 33%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Rayo VallecanoStatVillarreal
5All-time wins (20 meetings, 3 draws)12
1Last 5 meetings (1 draws)3
1.0Average goals2.1
Last meeting (2026-05-17): Rayo Vallecano 2–0 Villarreal