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Real Sociedad vs Barcelona Prediction & Win Probability

Barcelona has a 61% chance to win.
La Liga
Sun, May 16, 2027 · 4:00 PM BST
La Liga
Real Sociedad
7-1-4Rating 1855
Form: WLWWW
vs
Model Probability
17%
Draw 22%
61%
La Liga
Barcelona
11-0-1Rating 2096
Form: WWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Barcelona

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 69.7%100.0%<1%<1%
If Win 74.1%100.0%<1%<1%
If Draw 67.3%100.0%<1%<1%
If Lose 61.2%100.0%<1%<1%

Real Sociedad

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%43.9%18.1%<1%
If Win <1%53.5%16.3%<1%
If Draw <1%45.3%15.7%<1%
If Lose <1%39.7%17.0%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Real SociedadStatBarcelona
12Games played12
1.8Avg goals scored4.0
1.7Avg goals conceded1.1
58% / 8% / 33%Win / Draw / Loss92% / 0% / 8%
67% Home win % / Away win % 100%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Real SociedadStatBarcelona
8All-time wins (32 meetings, 3 draws)21
2Last 5 meetings (0 draws)3
1.1Average goals2.2
Last meeting (2026-01-18): Real Sociedad 2–1 Barcelona