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Final Score: Bulgaria 1–2 Luxembourg
UEFA Nations League · League C · Group 4 · Round 1
Sat, Sep 26, 2026 ยท 5:00 PM BST

Bulgaria vs Luxembourg Prediction & Win Probability

Before kickoff, Bulgaria had a 46% chance to win, with a 29% chance of a draw.

Rating 1505 · World #93
Form: WWWLL
VS
Rating 1454 · World #107
Form: WWLLL
Pre-match probability
46%
25%
Draw 29%

League C ยท Group 4

#Team P Pts Rating 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
1 Iceland 4 8 1591 84% 13% 3% <1%
2 Estonia 4 6 1428 9% 51% 26% 14%
3 Bulgaria 4 4 1505 5% 29% 40% 26%
4 Luxembourg 4 3 1454 2% 7% 31% 60%
Promoted to League B (1st) Promotion play-off (2nd)

Form Coming Into This Game

Last 6 internationals in any competition
BulgariaStatLuxembourg
3-0-3Won-Drawn-Lost2-0-4
2.33Avg goals scored0.83
2.5Avg goals conceded1.5
1505Rating1454
#93World rank#107

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings (all internationals since 2010)
BulgariaStatLuxembourg
3Wins (7 meetings, 3 draws)1
2Last 5 meetings (2 draws)1
1.29Average goals0.86
Last meeting (Tue, Oct 6, 2026, Nations League): Luxembourg 0–2 Bulgaria

Recent Results

๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฌ Bulgaria

@ Indonesia
Mon, Mar 30, 2026 · Fifa Series · Pre-match win chance 38%
1–0
@ Solomon Islands
Fri, Mar 27, 2026 · Fifa Series · Pre-match win chance 57%
10–2
vs Georgia
Tue, Nov 18, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 22%
2–1
@ Turkey
Sat, Nov 15, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 8%
0–2
@ Spain
Tue, Oct 14, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 2%
0–4

๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡บ Luxembourg

vs Malta
Tue, Mar 31, 2026 · Nations League · Pre-match win chance 62%
3–0
@ Malta
Thu, Mar 26, 2026 · Nations League · Pre-match win chance 48%
2–0
@ Northern Ireland
Mon, Nov 17, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 16%
0–1
vs Germany
Fri, Nov 14, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 4%
0–2
@ Slovakia
Mon, Oct 13, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 9%
0–2