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Final Score: England 2–3 Spain
UEFA Nations League · League A · Group 3 · Round 1
Sat, Sep 26, 2026 ยท 7:45 PM BST

England vs Spain Prediction & Win Probability

Before kickoff, Spain had a 40% chance to win, with a 30% chance of a draw.

Rating 2010 · World #4
Form: WLDWW
VS
Rating 2093 · World #1
Form: DWWWW
Pre-match probability
29%
40%
Draw 30%

League A ยท Group 3

#Team P Pts Rating 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
1 Spain 4 12 2093 92% 8% <1% <1%
2 England 4 9 2010 8% 90% 2% <1%
3 Croatia 4 3 1838 <1% 2% 92% 6%
4 Czech Republic 4 0 1681 <1% <1% 6% 94%
Quarter-finals (1st, 2nd) Relegation play-off (3rd) Relegated to League B (4th)

Form Coming Into This Game

Last 6 internationals in any competition
EnglandStatSpain
4-1-1Won-Drawn-Lost5-1-0
2.5Avg goals scored1.5
1.67Avg goals conceded0.17
2010Rating2093
#4World rank#1

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings (all internationals since 2010)
EnglandStatSpain
2Wins (7 meetings, 1 draw)4
1Last 5 meetings (1 draw)3
1.43Average goals1.86
Last meeting (Sat, Sep 26, 2026, Nations League): England 2–3 Spain

Recent Results

๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ England

@ France
Sat, Jul 18, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 27%
6–4
vs Argentina
Wed, Jul 15, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 31%
1–2
@ Norway
Sat, Jul 11, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 56%
1–1
@ Mexico
Mon, Jul 6, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 50%
3–2
vs D.R. Congo
Wed, Jul 1, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 76%
2–1

๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ Spain

vs Argentina
Sun, Jul 19, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 43%
0–0
@ France
Tue, Jul 14, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 36%
2–0
vs Belgium
Fri, Jul 10, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 57%
2–1
@ Portugal
Mon, Jul 6, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 48%
1–0
vs Austria
Thu, Jul 2, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 68%
3–0