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UEFA Nations League · League A · Group 3 · Round 2
Tue, Sep 29, 2026 ยท 7:45 PM BST

Czech Republic vs England Prediction & Win Probability

England has a 71% chance to win, with a 19% chance of a draw.

Rating 1693 · World #47
Form: LDLDD
VS
Rating 1996 · World #4
Form: WLDWW
Model Probability
10%
71%
Draw 19%

Group Impact

Chance of finishing in each Group 3 position, depending on this result

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฟ Czech Republic

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand<1%2%18%80%
Czech Republic win 2%11%29%58%
Draw <1%2%21%77%
England win <1%1%15%84%

๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ England

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand30%50%17%3%
Czech Republic win 16%45%27%13%
Draw 21%51%23%5%
England win 34%51%14%<1%

League A ยท Group 3

#Team P Pts Rating 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
– Spain 0 0 2079 65% 28% 6% <1%
– England 0 0 1996 30% 50% 17% 3%
– Croatia 0 0 1855 5% 19% 59% 17%
– Czech Republic 0 0 1693 <1% 2% 18% 80%
Quarter-finals (1st, 2nd) Relegation play-off (3rd) Relegated to League B (4th)

Form Coming Into This Game

Last 10 internationals in any competition
Czech RepublicStatEngland
2-4-4Won-Drawn-Lost7-2-1
1.5Avg goals scored2.3
1.6Avg goals conceded1.2
1693Rating1996
#47World rank#4

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings (all internationals since 2010)
Czech RepublicStatEngland
1Wins (3 meetings, 0 draws)2
1Last 3 meetings (0 draws)2
0.67Average goals2.33
Last meeting (Tue, Jun 22, 2021, Euro): Czech Republic 0–1 England

Recent Results

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฟ Czech Republic

vs Mexico
Thu, Jun 25, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 20%
0–3
vs South Africa
Thu, Jun 18, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 47%
1–1
@ South Korea
Fri, Jun 12, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 32%
1–2
vs Denmark
Tue, Mar 31, 2026 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 26%
1–1
vs Ireland
Thu, Mar 26, 2026 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 48%
2–2

๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ England

@ France
Sat, Jul 18, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 27%
6–4
vs Argentina
Wed, Jul 15, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 31%
1–2
@ Norway
Sat, Jul 11, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 56%
1–1
@ Mexico
Mon, Jul 6, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 50%
3–2
vs D.R. Congo
Wed, Jul 1, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 76%
2–1