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UEFA Nations League · League A · Group 3 · Round 3
Sat, Oct 3, 2026 ยท 7:45 PM BST

Spain vs Czech Republic Prediction & Win Probability

Spain has a 86% chance to win, with a 10% chance of a draw.

Rating 2079 · World #1
Form: DWWWW
VS
Rating 1693 · World #47
Form: LDLDD
Model Probability
86%
4%
Draw 10%

Group Impact

Chance of finishing in each Group 3 position, depending on this result

๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ Spain

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand65%28%6%<1%
Spain win 68%27%6%<1%
Draw 53%35%10%1%
Czech Republic win 41%35%17%6%

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฟ Czech Republic

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand<1%2%18%80%
Spain win <1%2%16%82%
Draw <1%4%24%72%
Czech Republic win 4%9%29%58%

League A ยท Group 3

#Team P Pts Rating 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
– Spain 0 0 2079 65% 28% 6% <1%
– England 0 0 1996 30% 50% 17% 3%
– Croatia 0 0 1855 5% 19% 59% 17%
– Czech Republic 0 0 1693 <1% 2% 18% 80%
Quarter-finals (1st, 2nd) Relegation play-off (3rd) Relegated to League B (4th)

Form Coming Into This Game

Last 10 internationals in any competition
SpainStatCzech Republic
7-3-0Won-Drawn-Lost2-4-4
1.9Avg goals scored1.5
0.3Avg goals conceded1.6
2079Rating1693
#1World rank#47

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings (all internationals since 2010)
SpainStatCzech Republic
4Wins (5 meetings, 1 draw)0
4Last 5 meetings (1 draw)0
1.8Average goals0.6
Last meeting (Sun, Jun 12, 2022, Nations League): Spain 2–0 Czech Republic

Recent Results

๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ Spain

vs Argentina
Sun, Jul 19, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 43%
0–0
@ France
Tue, Jul 14, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 36%
2–0
vs Belgium
Fri, Jul 10, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 57%
2–1
@ Portugal
Mon, Jul 6, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 48%
1–0
vs Austria
Thu, Jul 2, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 68%
3–0

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฟ Czech Republic

vs Mexico
Thu, Jun 25, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 20%
0–3
vs South Africa
Thu, Jun 18, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 47%
1–1
@ South Korea
Fri, Jun 12, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 32%
1–2
vs Denmark
Tue, Mar 31, 2026 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 26%
1–1
vs Ireland
Thu, Mar 26, 2026 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 48%
2–2