โ† Home / UEFA Nations League / Matchups / Croatia vs Spain
Final Score: Croatia 1–2 Spain
UEFA Nations League · League A · Group 3 · Round 4
Tue, Oct 6, 2026 ยท 7:45 PM BST

Croatia vs Spain Prediction & Win Probability

Before kickoff, Spain had a 64% chance to win, with a 22% chance of a draw.

Rating 1838 · World #16
Form: LLWLW
VS
Rating 2093 · World #1
Form: WWWDW
Pre-match probability
14%
64%
Draw 22%

League A ยท Group 3

#Team P Pts Rating 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
1 Spain 4 12 2093 92% 8% <1% <1%
2 England 4 9 2010 8% 90% 2% <1%
3 Croatia 4 3 1838 <1% 2% 92% 6%
4 Czech Republic 4 0 1681 <1% <1% 6% 94%
Quarter-finals (1st, 2nd) Relegation play-off (3rd) Relegated to League B (4th)

Form Coming Into This Game

Last 9 internationals in any competition
CroatiaStatSpain
5-0-4Won-Drawn-Lost8-1-0
1.67Avg goals scored2.11
2.44Avg goals conceded0.56
1838Rating2093
#16World rank#1

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings (all internationals since 2010)
CroatiaStatSpain
2Wins (9 meetings, 2 draws)5
0Last 5 meetings (2 draws)3
1.11Average goals2.44
Last meeting (Tue, Oct 6, 2026, Nations League): Croatia 1–2 Spain