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UEFA Nations League · League A · Group 3 · Round 5
Thu, Nov 12, 2026 ยท 7:45 PM GMT

Czech Republic vs Spain Prediction & Win Probability

Spain has a 80% chance to win, with a 14% chance of a draw.

Rating 1693 · World #47
Form: LDLDD
VS
Rating 2079 · World #1
Form: DWWWW
Model Probability
7%
80%
Draw 14%

Group Impact

Chance of finishing in each Group 3 position, depending on this result

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฟ Czech Republic

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand<1%2%18%80%
Czech Republic win 2%10%29%58%
Draw <1%3%21%76%
Spain win <1%2%16%82%

๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ Spain

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand65%28%6%<1%
Czech Republic win 42%35%18%5%
Draw 55%34%10%1%
Spain win 69%26%5%<1%

League A ยท Group 3

#Team P Pts Rating 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
– Spain 0 0 2079 65% 28% 6% <1%
– England 0 0 1996 30% 50% 17% 3%
– Croatia 0 0 1855 5% 19% 59% 17%
– Czech Republic 0 0 1693 <1% 2% 18% 80%
Quarter-finals (1st, 2nd) Relegation play-off (3rd) Relegated to League B (4th)

Form Coming Into This Game

Last 10 internationals in any competition
Czech RepublicStatSpain
2-4-4Won-Drawn-Lost7-3-0
1.5Avg goals scored1.9
1.6Avg goals conceded0.3
1693Rating2079
#47World rank#1

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings (all internationals since 2010)
Czech RepublicStatSpain
0Wins (5 meetings, 1 draw)4
0Last 5 meetings (1 draw)4
0.6Average goals1.8
Last meeting (Sun, Jun 12, 2022, Nations League): Spain 2–0 Czech Republic

Recent Results

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฟ Czech Republic

vs Mexico
Thu, Jun 25, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 20%
0–3
vs South Africa
Thu, Jun 18, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 47%
1–1
@ South Korea
Fri, Jun 12, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 32%
1–2
vs Denmark
Tue, Mar 31, 2026 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 26%
1–1
vs Ireland
Thu, Mar 26, 2026 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 48%
2–2

๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ Spain

vs Argentina
Sun, Jul 19, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 43%
0–0
@ France
Tue, Jul 14, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 36%
2–0
vs Belgium
Fri, Jul 10, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 57%
2–1
@ Portugal
Mon, Jul 6, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 48%
1–0
vs Austria
Thu, Jul 2, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 68%
3–0