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UEFA Nations League · League A · Group 3 · Round 5
Thu, Nov 12, 2026 ยท 7:45 PM GMT

Czech Republic vs Spain Prediction & Win Probability

Spain has a 82% chance to win, with a 12% chance of a draw.

Rating 1681 · World #49
Form: LLLLL
VS
Rating 2093 · World #1
Form: WWWWD
Model Probability
6%
82%
Draw 12%

Group Impact

Chance of finishing in each Group 3 position, depending on this result

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฟ Czech Republic

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand<1%<1%6%94%
Czech Republic win <1%<1%14%86%
Draw <1%<1%11%89%
Spain win <1%<1%5%95%

๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ Spain

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand92%8%<1%<1%
Czech Republic win 79%21%<1%<1%
Draw 86%14%<1%<1%
Spain win 94%6%<1%<1%

League A ยท Group 3

#Team P Pts Rating 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
1 Spain 4 12 2093 92% 8% <1% <1%
2 England 4 9 2010 8% 90% 2% <1%
3 Croatia 4 3 1838 <1% 2% 92% 6%
4 Czech Republic 4 0 1681 <1% <1% 6% 94%
Quarter-finals (1st, 2nd) Relegation play-off (3rd) Relegated to League B (4th)

Form Coming Into This Game

Last 10 internationals in any competition
Czech RepublicStatSpain
1-3-6Won-Drawn-Lost9-1-0
1.3Avg goals scored2.1
1.9Avg goals conceded0.6
1681Rating2093
#49World rank#1

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings (all internationals since 2010)
Czech RepublicStatSpain
0Wins (6 meetings, 1 draw)5
0Last 5 meetings (1 draw)4
0.67Average goals2.0
Last meeting (Sat, Oct 3, 2026, Nations League): Spain 3–1 Czech Republic