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UEFA Nations League · League A · Group 3 · Round 6
Sun, Nov 15, 2026 ยท 7:45 PM GMT

Spain vs England Prediction & Win Probability

Spain has a 52% chance to win, with a 27% chance of a draw.

Rating 2093 · World #1
Form: WWWWD
VS
Rating 2010 · World #4
Form: WWWLW
Model Probability
52%
21%
Draw 27%

Group Impact

Chance of finishing in each Group 3 position, depending on this result

๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ Spain

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand92%8%<1%<1%
Spain win 100%<1%<1%<1%
Draw 100%<1%<1%<1%
England win 60%40%<1%<1%

๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ England

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand8%90%2%<1%
Spain win <1%96%4%<1%
Draw <1%100%<1%<1%
England win 40%60%<1%<1%

League A ยท Group 3

#Team P Pts Rating 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
1 Spain 4 12 2093 92% 8% <1% <1%
2 England 4 9 2010 8% 90% 2% <1%
3 Croatia 4 3 1838 <1% 2% 92% 6%
4 Czech Republic 4 0 1681 <1% <1% 6% 94%
Quarter-finals (1st, 2nd) Relegation play-off (3rd) Relegated to League B (4th)

Form Coming Into This Game

Last 10 internationals in any competition
SpainStatEngland
9-1-0Won-Drawn-Lost7-1-2
2.1Avg goals scored2.9
0.6Avg goals conceded1.3
2093Rating2010
#1World rank#4

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings (all internationals since 2010)
SpainStatEngland
4Wins (7 meetings, 1 draw)2
3Last 5 meetings (1 draw)1
1.86Average goals1.43
Last meeting (Sat, Sep 26, 2026, Nations League): England 2–3 Spain