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Final Score: Spain 4–1 Croatia
UEFA Nations League · League A · Group 3 · Round 2
Tue, Sep 29, 2026 ยท 7:45 PM BST

Spain vs Croatia Prediction & Win Probability

Before kickoff, Spain had a 71% chance to win, with a 19% chance of a draw.

Rating 2093 · World #1
Form: WDWWW
VS
Rating 1838 · World #16
Form: WLWWL
Pre-match probability
71%
10%
Draw 19%

League A ยท Group 3

#Team P Pts Rating 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
1 Spain 4 12 2093 92% 8% <1% <1%
2 England 4 9 2010 8% 90% 2% <1%
3 Croatia 4 3 1838 <1% 2% 92% 6%
4 Czech Republic 4 0 1681 <1% <1% 6% 94%
Quarter-finals (1st, 2nd) Relegation play-off (3rd) Relegated to League B (4th)

Form Coming Into This Game

Last 7 internationals in any competition
SpainStatCroatia
6-1-0Won-Drawn-Lost5-0-2
1.71Avg goals scored2.0
0.43Avg goals conceded1.57
2093Rating1838
#1World rank#16

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings (all internationals since 2010)
SpainStatCroatia
5Wins (9 meetings, 2 draws)2
3Last 5 meetings (2 draws)0
2.44Average goals1.11
Last meeting (Tue, Oct 6, 2026, Nations League): Croatia 1–2 Spain

Recent Results

๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ Spain

@ England
Sat, Sep 26, 2026 · Nations League · Pre-match win chance 40%
3–2
vs Argentina
Sun, Jul 19, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 43%
0–0
@ France
Tue, Jul 14, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 36%
2–0
vs Belgium
Fri, Jul 10, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 57%
2–1
@ Portugal
Mon, Jul 6, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 48%
1–0

๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡ท Croatia

@ Czech Republic
Sat, Sep 26, 2026 · Nations League · Pre-match win chance 52%
2–1
@ Portugal
Thu, Jul 2, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 25%
1–2
vs Ghana
Sat, Jun 27, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 69%
2–1
@ Panama
Tue, Jun 23, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 55%
1–0
@ England
Wed, Jun 17, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 22%
2–4