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UEFA Nations League · League A · Group 3 · Round 6
Sun, Nov 15, 2026 ยท 7:45 PM GMT

Croatia vs Czech Republic Prediction & Win Probability

Croatia has a 63% chance to win, with a 23% chance of a draw.

Rating 1855 · World #15
Form: LWWLW
VS
Rating 1693 · World #47
Form: LDLDD
Model Probability
63%
14%
Draw 23%

Group Impact

Chance of finishing in each Group 3 position, depending on this result

๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡ท Croatia

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand5%19%58%18%
Croatia win 6%24%63%7%
Draw 3%14%58%25%
Czech Republic win 2%7%38%54%

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฟ Czech Republic

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand<1%2%18%79%
Croatia win <1%1%8%90%
Draw <1%3%26%72%
Czech Republic win 1%9%48%42%

League A ยท Group 3

#Team P Pts Rating 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
– Spain 0 0 2079 65% 28% 6% <1%
– England 0 0 1996 30% 50% 17% 3%
– Croatia 0 0 1855 5% 19% 58% 18%
– Czech Republic 0 0 1693 <1% 2% 18% 79%
Quarter-finals (1st, 2nd) Relegation play-off (3rd) Relegated to League B (4th)

Form Coming Into This Game

Last 10 internationals in any competition
CroatiaStatCzech Republic
7-1-2Won-Drawn-Lost2-4-4
2.0Avg goals scored1.5
1.0Avg goals conceded1.6
1855Rating1693
#15World rank#47

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings (all internationals since 2010)
CroatiaStatCzech Republic
1Wins (4 meetings, 3 draws)0
1Last 4 meetings (3 draws)0
2.0Average goals1.0
Last meeting (Thu, Oct 9, 2025, World Cup qualifier): Czech Republic 0–0 Croatia

Recent Results

๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡ท Croatia

@ Portugal
Thu, Jul 2, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 25%
1–2
vs Ghana
Sat, Jun 27, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 69%
2–1
@ Panama
Tue, Jun 23, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 55%
1–0
@ England
Wed, Jun 17, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 22%
2–4
@ Montenegro
Mon, Nov 17, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 75%
3–2

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฟ Czech Republic

vs Mexico
Thu, Jun 25, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 20%
0–3
vs South Africa
Thu, Jun 18, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 47%
1–1
@ South Korea
Fri, Jun 12, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 32%
1–2
vs Denmark
Tue, Mar 31, 2026 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 26%
1–1
vs Ireland
Thu, Mar 26, 2026 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 48%
2–2