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UEFA Nations League · League C · Group 1 · Round 3
Sat, Oct 3, 2026 ยท 2:00 PM BST

Finland vs Albania Prediction & Win Probability

Finland has a 36% chance to win, with a 31% chance of a draw.

Rating 1595 · World #72
Form: DWLLW
VS
Rating 1624 · World #61
Form: LLWWW
Model Probability
36%
33%
Draw 31%

Group Impact

Chance of finishing in each Group 1 position, depending on this result

๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ฎ Finland

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand40%40%21%<1%
Finland win 66%25%9%<1%
Draw 36%42%21%<1%
Albania win 14%53%33%<1%

๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ฑ Albania

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand49%35%15%<1%
Finland win 23%51%26%<1%
Draw 50%35%15%<1%
Albania win 77%19%4%<1%

League C ยท Group 1

#Team P Pts Rating 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
– Albania 0 0 1624 49% 35% 15% <1%
– Finland 0 0 1595 40% 40% 21% <1%
– Belarus 0 0 1478 11% 25% 62% 2%
– San Marino 0 0 1055 <1% <1% 2% 98%
Promoted to League B (1st) Promotion play-off (2nd) Ranking of 4th-placed teams (4th) Relegation play-off Relegated to League D

Form Coming Into This Game

Last 10 internationals in any competition
FinlandStatAlbania
4-2-4Won-Drawn-Lost4-2-4
1.1Avg goals scored0.9
1.5Avg goals conceded0.9
1595Rating1624
#72World rank#61

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings (all internationals since 2010)
Finland and Albania haven't met since 2010.

Recent Results

๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ฎ Finland

@ Cape Verde
Mon, Mar 30, 2026 · Fifa Series · Pre-match win chance 34%
1–1
@ New Zealand
Fri, Mar 27, 2026 · Fifa Series · Pre-match win chance 27%
2–0
vs Malta
Fri, Nov 14, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 78%
0–1
@ Netherlands
Sun, Oct 12, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 6%
0–4
vs Lithuania
Thu, Oct 9, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 70%
2–1

๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ฑ Albania

@ Poland
Thu, Mar 26, 2026 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 19%
1–2
vs England
Sun, Nov 16, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 9%
0–2
@ Andorra
Thu, Nov 13, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 83%
1–0
@ Serbia
Sat, Oct 11, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 16%
1–0
vs Latvia
Tue, Sep 9, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 71%
1–0