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UEFA Nations League · League C · Group 1 · Round 4
Tue, Oct 6, 2026 ยท 7:45 PM BST

Albania vs San Marino Prediction & Win Probability

Albania has a 95% chance to win, with a 4% chance of a draw.

Rating 1624 · World #61
Form: LLWWW
VS
Rating 1055 · World #220
Form: LLLLL
Model Probability
95%
2%
Draw 4%

Group Impact

Chance of finishing in each Group 1 position, depending on this result

๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ฑ Albania

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand49%35%15%<1%
Albania win 50%35%15%<1%
Draw 33%39%27%<1%
San Marino win 26%44%28%2%

๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฒ San Marino

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand<1%<1%2%98%
Albania win <1%<1%2%98%
Draw <1%<1%2%98%
San Marino win <1%<1%9%91%

League C ยท Group 1

#Team P Pts Rating 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
– Albania 0 0 1624 49% 35% 15% <1%
– Finland 0 0 1595 40% 40% 21% <1%
– Belarus 0 0 1478 11% 25% 62% 2%
– San Marino 0 0 1055 <1% <1% 2% 98%
Promoted to League B (1st) Promotion play-off (2nd) Ranking of 4th-placed teams (4th) Relegation play-off Relegated to League D

Form Coming Into This Game

Last 10 internationals in any competition
AlbaniaStatSan Marino
4-2-4Won-Drawn-Lost1-1-8
0.9Avg goals scored0.6
0.9Avg goals conceded4.1
1624Rating1055
#61World rank#220

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings (all internationals since 2010)
AlbaniaStatSan Marino
3Wins (3 meetings, 0 draws)0
3Last 3 meetings (0 draws)0
3.33Average goals0.0
Last meeting (Wed, Sep 8, 2021, World Cup qualifier): Albania 5–0 San Marino

Recent Results

๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ฑ Albania

@ Poland
Thu, Mar 26, 2026 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 19%
1–2
vs England
Sun, Nov 16, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 9%
0–2
@ Andorra
Thu, Nov 13, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 83%
1–0
@ Serbia
Sat, Oct 11, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 16%
1–0
vs Latvia
Tue, Sep 9, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 71%
1–0

๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฒ San Marino

@ Romania
Tue, Nov 18, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 1%
1–7
vs Cyprus
Sun, Oct 12, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 10%
0–4
@ Austria
Thu, Oct 9, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 1%
0–10
vs Bosnia & Herzegovina
Sat, Sep 6, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 3%
0–6
vs Austria
Tue, Jun 10, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 1%
0–4