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UEFA Nations League · League D · Group 1 · Round 4
Sun, Oct 4, 2026 ยท 5:00 PM BST

Malta vs Andorra Prediction & Win Probability

Malta has a 55% chance to win, with a 26% chance of a draw.

Rating 1309 · World #167
Form: LLLWL
VS
Rating 1206 · World #199
Form: LLDLL
Model Probability
55%
19%
Draw 26%

Group Impact

Chance of finishing in each Group 1 position, depending on this result

๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡น Malta

Scenario1st2nd3rd
As things stand58%28%14%
Malta win 74%21%5%
Draw 49%32%18%
Andorra win 27%41%32%

๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ฉ Andorra

Scenario1st2nd3rd
As things stand23%37%40%
Malta win 10%39%51%
Draw 27%39%34%
Andorra win 53%30%17%

League D ยท Group 1

#Team P Pts Rating 1st 2nd 3rd
Malta 0 0 1309 58% 28% 14%
Andorra 0 0 1206 23% 37% 40%
Gibraltar 0 0 1191 19% 35% 46%
Promoted to League C (1st) Promotion play-off (2nd)

Form Coming Into This Game

Last 10 internationals in any competition
MaltaStatAndorra
1-2-7Won-Drawn-Lost0-2-8
0.4Avg goals scored0.3
2.4Avg goals conceded1.7
1309Rating1206
#167World rank#199

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings (all internationals since 2010)
MaltaStatAndorra
2Wins (4 meetings, 2 draws)0
2Last 4 meetings (2 draws)0
1.0Average goals0.25
Last meeting (Tue, Nov 19, 2024, Nations League): Malta 0–0 Andorra

Recent Results

๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡น Malta

@ Luxembourg
Tue, Mar 31, 2026 · Nations League · Pre-match win chance 15%
0–3
vs Luxembourg
Thu, Mar 26, 2026 · Nations League · Pre-match win chance 23%
0–2
vs Poland
Mon, Nov 17, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 6%
2–3
@ Finland
Fri, Nov 14, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 7%
1–0
vs Netherlands
Thu, Oct 9, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 2%
0–4

๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ฉ Andorra

vs Albania
Thu, Nov 13, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 6%
0–1
vs Serbia
Tue, Oct 14, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 3%
1–3
@ Latvia
Sat, Oct 11, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 12%
2–2
@ England
Sat, Sep 6, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 1%
0–2
@ Serbia
Tue, Jun 10, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 2%
0–3