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UEFA Nations League · League D · Group 1 · Round 6
Mon, Nov 16, 2026 ยท 7:45 PM GMT

Gibraltar vs Malta Prediction & Win Probability

Malta has a 46% chance to win, with a 29% chance of a draw.

Rating 1194 · World #202
Form: DDLLL
VS
Rating 1314 · World #165
Form: WDWLL
Model Probability
25%
46%
Draw 29%

Group Impact

Chance of finishing in each Group 1 position, depending on this result

๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ฎ Gibraltar

Scenario1st2nd3rd
As things stand7%63%30%
Gibraltar win 29%71%<1%
Draw <1%61%39%
Malta win <1%60%40%

๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡น Malta

Scenario1st2nd3rd
As things stand93%7%<1%
Gibraltar win 71%29%<1%
Draw 100%<1%<1%
Malta win 100%<1%<1%

League D ยท Group 1

#Team P Pts Rating 1st 2nd 3rd
1 Malta 3 7 1314 93% 7% <1%
2 Gibraltar 2 2 1194 7% 63% 30%
3 Andorra 3 1 1198 <1% 30% 70%
Promoted to League C (1st, 2nd, 3rd)

Form Coming Into This Game

Last 10 internationals in any competition
GibraltarStatMalta
0-2-8Won-Drawn-Lost3-2-5
0.3Avg goals scored0.8
2.4Avg goals conceded2.3
1194Rating1314
#202World rank#165

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings (all internationals since 2010)
GibraltarStatMalta
1Wins (4 meetings, 1 draw)2
1Last 4 meetings (1 draw)2
0.5Average goals1.0
Last meeting (Thu, Oct 1, 2026, Nations League): Malta 1–1 Gibraltar

Recent Results

๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ฎ Gibraltar

@ Malta
Thu, Oct 1, 2026 · Nations League · Pre-match win chance 17%
1–1
vs Andorra
Sun, Sep 27, 2026 · Nations League · Pre-match win chance 39%
0–0
@ Latvia
Tue, Mar 31, 2026 · Nations League · Pre-match win chance 12%
0–1
vs Latvia
Thu, Mar 26, 2026 · Nations League · Pre-match win chance 19%
0–1
@ Czech Republic
Mon, Nov 17, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 2%
0–6