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UEFA Nations League · League B · Group 2 · Round 4
Mon, Oct 5, 2026 Β· 7:45 PM BST

Ukraine vs Hungary Prediction & Win Probability

Ukraine has a 44% chance to win, with a 29% chance of a draw.

Rating 1751 · World #28
Form: LWLWW
VS
Rating 1720 · World #39
Form: LWDWL
Model Probability
44%
26%
Draw 29%

Group Impact

Chance of finishing in each Group 2 position, depending on this result

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ Ukraine

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand46%30%17%7%
Ukraine win 65%23%9%3%
Draw 39%33%20%8%
Hungary win 21%39%27%14%

πŸ‡­πŸ‡Ί Hungary

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand34%33%21%12%
Ukraine win 16%39%28%18%
Draw 37%32%20%12%
Hungary win 60%25%11%4%

League B Β· Group 2

#Team P Pts Rating 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Ukraine 0 0 1751 46% 30% 17% 7%
Hungary 0 0 1720 34% 33% 21% 12%
Georgia 0 0 1635 12% 21% 33% 34%
Northern Ireland 0 0 1605 8% 16% 29% 46%
Promoted to League A (1st) Promotion play-off (2nd) Relegation play-off (3rd) Relegated to League C (4th)

Form Coming Into This Game

Last 10 internationals in any competition
UkraineStatHungary
5-1-4Won-Drawn-Lost2-3-5
1.6Avg goals scored1.3
1.9Avg goals conceded2.1
1751Rating1720
#28World rank#39

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings (all internationals since 2010)
Ukraine and Hungary haven't met since 2010.

Recent Results

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ Ukraine

vs Sweden
Thu, Mar 26, 2026 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 50%
1–3
vs Iceland
Sun, Nov 16, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 65%
2–0
@ France
Thu, Nov 13, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 10%
0–4
vs Azerbaijan
Mon, Oct 13, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 82%
2–1
@ Iceland
Fri, Oct 10, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 54%
5–3

πŸ‡­πŸ‡Ί Hungary

vs Ireland
Sun, Nov 16, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 50%
2–3
@ Armenia
Thu, Nov 13, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 64%
1–0
@ Portugal
Tue, Oct 14, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 9%
2–2
vs Armenia
Sat, Oct 11, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 72%
2–0
vs Portugal
Tue, Sep 9, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 14%
2–3