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UEFA Nations League · League C · Group 3 · Round 4
Tue, Oct 6, 2026 Β· 7:45 PM BST

Moldova vs Slovakia Prediction & Win Probability

Slovakia has a 75% chance to win, with a 16% chance of a draw.

Rating 1361 · World #151
Form: LLDLL
VS
Rating 1706 · World #43
Form: LLWWL
Model Probability
8%
75%
Draw 16%

Group Impact

Chance of finishing in each Group 3 position, depending on this result

πŸ‡²πŸ‡© Moldova

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand1%18%34%47%
Moldova win 8%29%36%26%
Draw 2%20%35%43%
Slovakia win <1%17%34%50%

πŸ‡ΈπŸ‡° Slovakia

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand89%9%1%<1%
Moldova win 73%20%6%1%
Draw 83%15%2%<1%
Slovakia win 92%7%<1%<1%

League C Β· Group 3

#Team P Pts Rating 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Slovakia 0 0 1706 89% 9% 1% <1%
Kazakhstan 0 0 1462 8% 50% 27% 15%
Faroe Islands 0 0 1382 2% 23% 38% 38%
Moldova 0 0 1361 1% 18% 34% 47%
Promoted to League B (1st) Promotion play-off (2nd) Ranking of 4th-placed teams (4th) Relegation play-off Relegated to League D

Form Coming Into This Game

Last 10 internationals in any competition
MoldovaStatSlovakia
1-1-8Won-Drawn-Lost5-2-3
0.6Avg goals scored1.0
3.3Avg goals conceded1.2
1361Rating1706
#151World rank#43

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings (all internationals since 2010)
Moldova and Slovakia haven't met since 2010.

Recent Results

πŸ‡²πŸ‡© Moldova

@ Israel
Sun, Nov 16, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 10%
1–4
vs Italy
Thu, Nov 13, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 3%
0–2
@ Estonia
Tue, Oct 14, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 24%
1–1
@ Norway
Tue, Sep 9, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 4%
1–11
vs Israel
Fri, Sep 5, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 15%
0–4

πŸ‡ΈπŸ‡° Slovakia

vs Kosovo
Thu, Mar 26, 2026 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 55%
3–4
@ Germany
Mon, Nov 17, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 11%
0–6
vs Northern Ireland
Fri, Nov 14, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 56%
1–0
vs Luxembourg
Mon, Oct 13, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 73%
2–0
@ Northern Ireland
Fri, Oct 10, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 48%
0–2