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UEFA Nations League · League B · Group 1 · Round 4
Tue, Oct 6, 2026 ยท 7:45 PM BST

Scotland vs Slovenia Prediction & Win Probability

Scotland has a 46% chance to win, with a 29% chance of a draw.

Rating 1728 · World #35
Form: LLWWL
VS
Rating 1685 · World #51
Form: DLDDL
Model Probability
46%
25%
Draw 29%

Group Impact

Chance of finishing in each Group 1 position, depending on this result

๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ณ๓ ฃ๓ ด๓ ฟ Scotland

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand17%40%28%15%
Scotland win 24%50%18%7%
Draw 14%38%30%18%
Slovenia win 7%22%42%28%

๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ Slovenia

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand9%28%37%26%
Scotland win 4%16%44%36%
Draw 9%32%36%24%
Slovenia win 20%46%24%10%

League B ยท Group 1

#Team P Pts Rating 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
– Switzerland 0 0 1865 71% 20% 7% 2%
– Scotland 0 0 1728 17% 40% 28% 15%
– Slovenia 0 0 1685 9% 28% 37% 26%
– North Macedonia 0 0 1602 2% 12% 28% 57%
Promoted to League A (1st) Promotion play-off (2nd) Relegation play-off (3rd) Relegated to League C (4th)

Form Coming Into This Game

Last 10 internationals in any competition
ScotlandStatSlovenia
5-1-4Won-Drawn-Lost0-7-3
1.4Avg goals scored0.5
1.4Avg goals conceded1.3
1728Rating1685
#35World rank#51

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings (all internationals since 2010)
ScotlandStatSlovenia
1Wins (2 meetings, 1 draw)0
1Last 2 meetings (1 draw)0
1.5Average goals1.0
Last meeting (Sun, Oct 8, 2017, World Cup qualifier): Slovenia 2–2 Scotland

Recent Results

๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ณ๓ ฃ๓ ด๓ ฟ Scotland

vs Brazil
Wed, Jun 24, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 13%
0–3
vs Morocco
Fri, Jun 19, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 24%
0–1
@ Haiti
Sun, Jun 14, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 58%
1–0
vs Denmark
Tue, Nov 18, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 26%
4–2
@ Greece
Sat, Nov 15, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 31%
2–3

๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ Slovenia

@ Sweden
Tue, Nov 18, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 28%
1–1
vs Kosovo
Sat, Nov 15, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 55%
0–2
vs Switzerland
Mon, Oct 13, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 24%
0–0
@ Kosovo
Fri, Oct 10, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 45%
0–0
@ Switzerland
Mon, Sep 8, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 19%
0–3