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UEFA Nations League · League B · Group 1 · Round 5
Fri, Nov 13, 2026 ยท 7:45 PM GMT

Scotland vs North Macedonia Prediction & Win Probability

Scotland has a 58% chance to win, with a 25% chance of a draw.

Rating 1728 · World #35
Form: LLWWL
VS
Rating 1602 · World #68
Form: LLDDW
Model Probability
58%
17%
Draw 25%

Group Impact

Chance of finishing in each Group 1 position, depending on this result

๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ณ๓ ฃ๓ ด๓ ฟ Scotland

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand17%40%28%15%
Scotland win 22%47%25%6%
Draw 12%37%32%19%
North Macedonia win 8%22%29%41%

๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ฐ North Macedonia

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand2%12%28%57%
Scotland win 1%6%24%69%
Draw 2%14%32%51%
North Macedonia win 7%31%35%27%

League B ยท Group 1

#Team P Pts Rating 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
– Switzerland 0 0 1865 71% 20% 7% 2%
– Scotland 0 0 1728 17% 40% 28% 15%
– Slovenia 0 0 1685 9% 28% 37% 26%
– North Macedonia 0 0 1602 2% 12% 28% 57%
Promoted to League A (1st) Promotion play-off (2nd) Relegation play-off (3rd) Relegated to League C (4th)

Form Coming Into This Game

Last 10 internationals in any competition
ScotlandStatNorth Macedonia
5-1-4Won-Drawn-Lost4-4-2
1.4Avg goals scored1.4
1.4Avg goals conceded1.4
1728Rating1602
#35World rank#68

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings (all internationals since 2010)
ScotlandStatNorth Macedonia
1Wins (2 meetings, 1 draw)0
1Last 2 meetings (1 draw)0
1.5Average goals1.0
Last meeting (Tue, Sep 10, 2013, World Cup qualifier): North Macedonia 1–2 Scotland

Recent Results

๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ณ๓ ฃ๓ ด๓ ฟ Scotland

vs Brazil
Wed, Jun 24, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 13%
0–3
vs Morocco
Fri, Jun 19, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 24%
0–1
@ Haiti
Sun, Jun 14, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 58%
1–0
vs Denmark
Tue, Nov 18, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 26%
4–2
@ Greece
Sat, Nov 15, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 31%
2–3

๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ฐ North Macedonia

@ Denmark
Thu, Mar 26, 2026 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 11%
0–4
@ Wales
Tue, Nov 18, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 20%
1–7
vs Kazakhstan
Mon, Oct 13, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 66%
1–1
@ Belgium
Fri, Oct 10, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 8%
0–0
vs Liechtenstein
Sun, Sep 7, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 91%
5–0