Final Score: Pirates 4 - Phillies 8
Wednesday, September 29, 2004 at 5:05 PM ET

Pirates @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Pirates
70-86 Rating 1458
Form: LLLWW
Model Probability
39%
61%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.9
Phillies
81-75 Rating 1515
Form: WLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pirates Phillies
All-time wins 276 251
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.5 4.3
Last meeting 6 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Pirates Phillies
Games played 156 156
Avg runs scored 4.3 5.1
Avg runs conceded 4.6 4.9
Win percentage 45% 52%
Away win % / Home win % 41% 49%