Final Score: Pirates 3 - Phillies 8
Wednesday, September 29, 2004 at 5:10 PM ET

Pirates @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Pirates
70-87 Rating 1456
Form: LLWWL
Model Probability
39%
61%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.9
Phillies
82-75 Rating 1517
Form: LWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pirates Phillies
All-time wins 276 252
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.5 4.3
Last meeting 4 8

Key Season Stats

Stat Pirates Phillies
Games played 157 157
Avg runs scored 4.3 5.1
Avg runs conceded 4.6 4.9
Win percentage 45% 52%
Away win % / Home win % 40% 50%