Final Score: Blue Jays 9 - Red Sox 7
Monday, July 4, 2011 at 1:35 PM ET

Blue Jays @ Red Sox

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Blue Jays
41-44 Rating 1513
Form: WLLLW
Model Probability
40%
60%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +0.8
Red Sox
49-34 Rating 1565
Form: LWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Blue Jays Red Sox
All-time wins 217 277
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.6 5.0
Last meeting 1 14

Key Season Stats

Stat Blue Jays Red Sox
Games played 85 83
Avg runs scored 4.5 5.2
Avg runs conceded 4.5 4.1
Win percentage 48% 59%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 58%