Final Score: Blue Jays 2 - Red Sox 3
Tuesday, July 5, 2011 at 7:10 PM ET

Blue Jays @ Red Sox

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Blue Jays
42-44 Rating 1516
Form: LLLWW
Model Probability
40%
60%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +0.8
Red Sox
49-35 Rating 1563
Form: WWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Blue Jays Red Sox
All-time wins 218 277
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.6 5.0
Last meeting 9 7

Key Season Stats

Stat Blue Jays Red Sox
Games played 86 84
Avg runs scored 4.6 5.2
Avg runs conceded 4.5 4.2
Win percentage 49% 58%
Away win % / Home win % 51% 56%