Final Score: Orioles 4 - Guardians 3
Thursday, July 24, 2025 at 1:10 PM ET
Orioles @ Guardians
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Orioles | Guardians |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 303 | 304 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average runs | 4.5 | 4.3 |
| Last meeting | 2 | 3 |
| Stat | Orioles | Guardians |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 101 | 101 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.1 | 3.9 |
| Avg runs conceded | 5.1 | 4.2 |
| Win percentage | 44% | 50% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 41% | 51% |
Recent Results
Orioles
@ Cleveland Guardians
Jul 23, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Cleveland Guardians
Jul 22, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
@ Cleveland Guardians
Jul 21, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 15
5-10
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Jul 20, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Jul 19, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Jul 18, 2025 · Margin: -10 · Total: 12
1-11
vs Miami Marlins
Jul 13, 2025 · Margin: -10 · Total: 12
1-11
vs Miami Marlins
Jul 12, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 6
0-6
vs Miami Marlins
Jul 11, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
vs New York Mets
Jul 10, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 10
7-3
Guardians
vs Baltimore Orioles
Jul 23, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Baltimore Orioles
Jul 22, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
vs Baltimore Orioles
Jul 21, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 15
10-5
vs Athletics
Jul 20, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 10
8-2
vs Athletics
Jul 19, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 10
2-8
vs Athletics
Jul 18, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 14
8-6
@ Chicago White Sox
Jul 13, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5
@ Chicago White Sox
Jul 12, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
@ Chicago White Sox
Jul 11, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
@ Chicago White Sox
Jul 11, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2