Final Score: Astros 3 - Orioles 10
Thursday, April 30, 2026 at 12:35 PM ET
Astros @ Orioles
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Astros | Orioles |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 51 | 38 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average runs | 5.1 | 4.2 |
| Last meeting | 3 | 5 |
| Stat | Astros | Orioles |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 30 | 29 |
| Avg runs scored | 5.1 | 4.5 |
| Avg runs conceded | 6.0 | 4.9 |
| Win percentage | 37% | 48% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 21% | 50% |
Recent Results
Astros
@ Baltimore Orioles
Apr 28, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
vs New York Yankees
Apr 26, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 11
7-4
vs New York Yankees
Apr 25, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 11
3-8
vs New York Yankees
Apr 24, 2026 · Margin: -8 · Total: 16
4-12
@ Cleveland Guardians
Apr 22, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0
@ Cleveland Guardians
Apr 21, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 13
5-8
@ Cleveland Guardians
Apr 20, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 11
9-2
vs St. Louis Cardinals
Apr 19, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 12
5-7
vs St. Louis Cardinals
Apr 18, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 12
5-7
vs St. Louis Cardinals
Apr 17, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 13
4-9
Orioles
vs Houston Astros
Apr 28, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
vs Boston Red Sox
Apr 26, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
vs Boston Red Sox
Apr 25, 2026 · Margin: -16 · Total: 18
1-17
vs Boston Red Sox
Apr 24, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 13
10-3
@ Kansas City Royals
Apr 22, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 14
8-6
@ Kansas City Royals
Apr 21, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6
@ Kansas City Royals
Apr 20, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 12
7-5
@ Cleveland Guardians
Apr 19, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 12
4-8
@ Cleveland Guardians
Apr 18, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
@ Cleveland Guardians
Apr 17, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 10
6-4