Final Score: Reds 5 - Padres 3
Tuesday, June 9, 2026 at 9:40 PM ET

Reds @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Reds
31-34 Rating 1490
Form: LLLLL
Model Probability
42%
58%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +0.6
Padres
34-31 Rating 1528
Form: LLWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Reds Padres
All-time wins 352 312
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.5 4.0
Last meeting 2 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Reds Padres
Games played 65 65
Avg runs scored 4.3 3.8
Avg runs conceded 5.1 4.0
Win percentage 48% 52%
Away win % / Home win % 45% 50%