Padres @ Orioles

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Padres 5 - Orioles 2
Sunday, June 14, 2026 at 1:35 PM ET
San Diego
Padres
36-33 Rating 1527
Form: WLWLW
5 – 2
Model Probability
50%
50%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +0.1
Baltimore
Orioles
34-38 Rating 1496
Form: LWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Padres Orioles
All-time wins 15 17
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 5.5 5.3
Last meeting 9 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Padres Orioles
Games played 69 72
Avg runs scored 3.9 4.7
Avg runs conceded 4.1 5.2
Win percentage 52% 47%
Away win % / Home win % 55% 55%