Final Score: Padres 5 - Dodgers 1
Wednesday, September 23, 2026 at 10:10 PM ET
Padres @ Dodgers
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Padres | Dodgers |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 439 | 547 |
| Last 5 meetings | 1 | 4 |
| Average runs | 3.6 | 4.3 |
| Last meeting | 0 | 7 |
| Stat | Padres | Dodgers |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 157 | 157 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.4 | 5.0 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.2 | 3.7 |
| Win percentage | 55% | 62% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 48% | 65% |
Recent Results
Padres
@ Los Angeles Dodgers
Sep 22, 2026 · Margin: -7 · Total: 7
0-7
vs Miami Marlins
Sep 20, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 10
7-3
vs Miami Marlins
Sep 19, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 13
7-6
vs Miami Marlins
Sep 18, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 10
8-2
@ Colorado Rockies
Sep 17, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 11
9-2
@ Colorado Rockies
Sep 16, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 12
9-3
@ Colorado Rockies
Sep 15, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 12
3-9
@ Colorado Rockies
Sep 14, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 15
8-7
@ San Francisco Giants
Sep 13, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 10
6-4
@ San Francisco Giants
Sep 12, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 13
7-6
Dodgers
vs San Diego Padres
Sep 22, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 7
7-0
vs San Francisco Giants
Sep 20, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
vs San Francisco Giants
Sep 19, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 14
10-4
vs San Francisco Giants
Sep 18, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 10
8-2
@ Cincinnati Reds
Sep 17, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 10
8-2
@ Cincinnati Reds
Sep 16, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
@ Cincinnati Reds
Sep 15, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 4
4-0
@ Cincinnati Reds
Sep 14, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
@ Miami Marlins
Sep 13, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 10
4-6
@ Miami Marlins
Sep 12, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4