Final Score: Padres 0 - Dodgers 0
Thursday, September 24, 2026 at 10:10 PM ET
Padres @ Dodgers
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
Padres
| Scenario | Playoffs | Division | Pennant | Title |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 99% | <1% | 11% | 7% |
| If Win | 100% | <1% | 11% | 7% |
| If Lose | 96% | <1% | 11% | 7% |
Dodgers
| Scenario | Playoffs | Division | Pennant | Title |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 100% | 100% | 35% | 23% |
| If Win | 100% | 100% | 34% | 22% |
| If Lose | 100% | 100% | 34% | 22% |
| Stat | Padres | Dodgers |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 440 | 547 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average runs | 3.6 | 4.2 |
| Last meeting | 5 | 1 |
| Stat | Padres | Dodgers |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 158 | 158 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.4 | 5.0 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.2 | 3.7 |
| Win percentage | 56% | 61% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 49% | 64% |
Recent Results
Padres
@ Los Angeles Dodgers
Sep 23, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
@ Los Angeles Dodgers
Sep 22, 2026 · Margin: -7 · Total: 7
0-7
vs Miami Marlins
Sep 20, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 10
7-3
vs Miami Marlins
Sep 19, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 13
7-6
vs Miami Marlins
Sep 18, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 10
8-2
@ Colorado Rockies
Sep 17, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 11
9-2
@ Colorado Rockies
Sep 16, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 12
9-3
@ Colorado Rockies
Sep 15, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 12
3-9
@ Colorado Rockies
Sep 14, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 15
8-7
@ San Francisco Giants
Sep 13, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 10
6-4
Dodgers
vs San Diego Padres
Sep 23, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
vs San Diego Padres
Sep 22, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 7
7-0
vs San Francisco Giants
Sep 20, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
vs San Francisco Giants
Sep 19, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 14
10-4
vs San Francisco Giants
Sep 18, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 10
8-2
@ Cincinnati Reds
Sep 17, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 10
8-2
@ Cincinnati Reds
Sep 16, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
@ Cincinnati Reds
Sep 15, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 4
4-0
@ Cincinnati Reds
Sep 14, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
@ Miami Marlins
Sep 13, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 10
4-6