Final Score: Rays 0 - Yankees 0
Wednesday, September 23, 2026 at 7:05 PM ET
Rays @ Yankees
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
Rays
| Scenario | Playoffs | Division | Pennant | Title |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 100% | 100% | 26% | 13% |
| If Win | 100% | 100% | 27% | 14% |
| If Lose | 100% | 100% | 26% | 12% |
Yankees
| Scenario | Playoffs | Division | Pennant | Title |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 100% | <1% | 25% | 13% |
| If Win | 100% | <1% | 25% | 14% |
| If Lose | 100% | <1% | 25% | 12% |
| Stat | Rays | Yankees |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 214 | 278 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average runs | 4.1 | 4.8 |
| Last meeting | 6 | 1 |
| Stat | Rays | Yankees |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 157 | 157 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.5 | 4.6 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.0 | 3.7 |
| Win percentage | 61% | 57% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 54% | 57% |
Recent Results
Rays
@ New York Yankees
Sep 22, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 7
6-1
@ New York Yankees
Sep 22, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 2
0-2
vs Boston Red Sox
Sep 20, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
vs Boston Red Sox
Sep 19, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
vs Boston Red Sox
Sep 18, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
vs Athletics
Sep 17, 2026 · Margin: +9 · Total: 11
10-1
vs Athletics
Sep 16, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Athletics
Sep 15, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
vs Houston Astros
Sep 13, 2026 · Margin: +10 · Total: 18
14-4
vs Houston Astros
Sep 12, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
Yankees
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Sep 22, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 7
1-6
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Sep 22, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0
@ Arizona Diamondbacks
Sep 20, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 12
4-8
@ Arizona Diamondbacks
Sep 19, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
@ Arizona Diamondbacks
Sep 18, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 11
9-2
@ Minnesota Twins
Sep 16, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
@ Minnesota Twins
Sep 15, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 9
8-1
@ Minnesota Twins
Sep 14, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 11
8-3
vs New York Mets
Sep 13, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0
vs New York Mets
Sep 12, 2026 · Margin: -10 · Total: 14
2-12