Rays @ Yankees

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Rays 4 - Yankees 6
Thursday, September 24, 2026 at 7:05 PM ET
Tampa Bay
Rays
96-62 Rating 1546
Form: WWLWL
4 – 6
Model Probability
45%
55%
Projected margin: New York Yankees +0.4
New York
Yankees
91-67 Rating 1557
Form: LLWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Rays Yankees
All-time wins 214 279
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.1 4.8
Last meeting 2 9

Key Season Stats

Stat Rays Yankees
Games played 158 158
Avg runs scored 4.5 4.6
Avg runs conceded 4.0 3.7
Win percentage 61% 58%
Away win % / Home win % 53% 57%