Rays @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Rays 2 - Phillies 0
Friday, September 25, 2026 at 6:40 PM ET
Tampa Bay
Rays
96-63 Rating 1544
Form: WLWLL
2 – 0
Model Probability
46%
54%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.3
Philadelphia
Phillies
87-72 Rating 1548
Form: LWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Rays Phillies
All-time wins 23 25
Last 5 meetings 0 5
Average runs 4.2 4.6
Last meeting 6 7

Key Season Stats

Stat Rays Phillies
Games played 159 159
Avg runs scored 4.5 4.4
Avg runs conceded 4.0 4.3
Win percentage 60% 55%
Away win % / Home win % 53% 54%