Brewers @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Brewers 5 - Phillies 1
Thursday, September 24, 2026 at 6:05 PM ET
Milwaukee
Brewers
99-59 Rating 1582
Form: WWWLW
5 – 1
Model Probability
50%
50%
Projected margin: Milwaukee Brewers +0.1
Philadelphia
Phillies
87-71 Rating 1550
Form: LLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Brewers Phillies
All-time wins 88 103
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.4 4.6
Last meeting 4 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Brewers Phillies
Games played 158 158
Avg runs scored 5.1 4.5
Avg runs conceded 3.8 4.3
Win percentage 63% 55%
Away win % / Home win % 59% 55%