Rays @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Rays 12 - Phillies 1
Saturday, September 26, 2026 at 7:15 PM ET
Tampa Bay
Rays
97-63 Rating 1546
Form: LWLLW
12 – 1
Model Probability
46%
54%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.2
Philadelphia
Phillies
87-73 Rating 1546
Form: WWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Rays Phillies
All-time wins 24 25
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.1 4.5
Last meeting 2 0

Key Season Stats

Stat Rays Phillies
Games played 160 160
Avg runs scored 4.5 4.4
Avg runs conceded 4.0 4.3
Win percentage 61% 54%
Away win % / Home win % 53% 53%