| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 11, 2009 | 1–4 | Mariners +3 | Rangers +0.2 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 11, 2009 | 1–2 | Giants +1 | Giants +0.8 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 11, 2009 | 1–5 | Diamondbacks +4 | Marlins +0.1 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 11, 2009 | 4–3 | Braves +1 | Rockies +0.4 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 11, 2009 | 9–15 | Red Sox +6 | Red Sox +1.4 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 11, 2009 | 8–7 | White Sox +1 | Twins +0.3 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 11, 2009 | 0–4 | Mets +4 | Mets +0.5 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 11, 2009 | 3–4 | Orioles +1 | Blue Jays +0.4 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 11, 2009 | 5–4 | Guardians +1 | Tigers +0.5 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 11, 2009 | 13–2 | Nationals +11 | Astros +1.3 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 11, 2009 | 3–6 | Brewers +3 | Dodgers +0.2 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 11, 2009 | 7–8 | Phillies +1 | Phillies +1.4 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 11, 2009 | 7–2 | Athletics +5 | Rays +0.9 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 11, 2009 | 2–5 | Cubs +3 | Cubs +0.2 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 11, 2009 | 8–14 | Angels +6 | Angels +0.2 | Regular Season |