| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2011 | 5–2 | Rangers +3 | Rangers +0.4 | Regular Season | |
| May 4, 2011 | 1–3 | Athletics +2 | Athletics +0.4 | Regular Season | |
| May 4, 2011 | 6–4 | Rockies +2 | Rockies +0.4 | Regular Season | |
| May 4, 2011 | 8–7 | Marlins +1 | Cardinals +0.2 | Regular Season | |
| May 4, 2011 | 3–2 | Orioles +1 | Royals +0.2 | Regular Season | |
| May 4, 2011 | 5–3 | Angels +2 | Red Sox +0.4 | Regular Season | |
| May 4, 2011 | 2–0 | Giants +2 | Giants +0.4 | Regular Season | |
| May 4, 2011 | 0–4 | Tigers +4 | Yankees +0.6 | Regular Season | |
| May 4, 2011 | 4–7 | Phillies +3 | Phillies +1.6 | Regular Season | |
| May 4, 2011 | 3–2 | Blue Jays +1 | Rays +0.5 | Regular Season | |
| May 4, 2011 | 7–4 | Pirates +3 | Padres +1.0 | Regular Season | |
| May 4, 2011 | 0–8 | Braves +8 | Braves +0.6 | Regular Season | |
| May 4, 2011 | 3–8 | Braves +5 | Braves +0.6 | Regular Season | |
| May 4, 2011 | 5–1 | Cubs +4 | Dodgers +0.5 | Regular Season | |
| May 4, 2011 | 3–2 | Twins +1 | White Sox +0.0 | Regular Season | |
| May 4, 2011 | 2–3 | Reds +1 | Reds +0.5 | Regular Season |