| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 4, 2011 | 5–2 | Mets +3 | Dodgers +0.2 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 2011 | 1–5 | Angels +4 | Angels +0.4 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 2011 | 4–13 | Rangers +9 | Rangers +0.9 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 2011 | 1–4 | Braves +3 | Braves +0.6 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 2011 | 4–5 | White Sox +1 | White Sox +1.0 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 2011 | 3–6 | Guardians +3 | Yankees +0.7 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 2011 | 0–1 | Cardinals +1 | Cardinals +0.3 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 2011 | 1–0 | Phillies +1 | Phillies +0.7 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 2011 | 5–3 | Padres +2 | Giants +0.9 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 2011 | 8–6 | Diamondbacks +2 | Brewers +0.5 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 2011 | 2–1 | Mariners +1 | Athletics +0.4 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 2011 | 0–7 | Twins +7 | Rays +0.1 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 2011 | 9–7 | Blue Jays +2 | Red Sox +0.8 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 2011 | 3–5 | Pirates +2 | Pirates +0.2 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 2011 | 4–5 | Nationals +1 | Nationals +0.1 | Regular Season |