| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 4, 2025 | 2–11 | Athletics +9 | Giants +0.5 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 2025 | 9–3 | Royals +6 | Diamondbacks +0.6 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 2025 | 18–1 | Astros +17 | Dodgers +0.7 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 2025 | 3–2 | White Sox +1 | Rockies +0.4 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 2025 | 3–2 | Orioles +1 | Braves +0.4 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 2025 | 2–1 | Tigers +1 | Tigers +0.1 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 2025 | 6–5 | Brewers +1 | Brewers +0.5 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 2025 | 3–4 | Blue Jays +1 | Blue Jays +0.9 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 2025 | 2–3 | Padres +1 | Padres +0.7 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 2025 | 3–4 | Twins +1 | Rays +0.2 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 2025 | 0–6 | Mariners +6 | Mariners +0.8 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 2025 | 5–6 | Mets +1 | Mets +0.2 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 2025 | 3–11 | Cubs +8 | Cubs +0.4 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 2025 | 9–6 | Reds +3 | Phillies +0.8 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 4, 2025 | 11–2 | Red Sox +9 | Red Sox +0.3 | Regular Season |