Final Score: Nuggets 126 - Thunder 129
Monday, March 9, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET
Nuggets @ Thunder
NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Nuggets | Thunder |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 108 | 125 |
| Last 5 meetings | 1 | 4 |
| Average points | 107.4 | 109.2 |
| Last meeting | 121 | 127 |
| Stat | Nuggets | Thunder |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 64 | 65 |
| Avg points scored | 120.2 | 118.6 |
| Avg points conceded | 116.5 | 107.6 |
| Win percentage | 61% | 77% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 65% | 79% |
Recent Results
Nuggets
vs New York Knicks
Mar 6, 2026 · Margin: -39 · Total: 245
103-142
vs Los Angeles Lakers
Mar 5, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 233
120-113
@ Utah Jazz
Mar 2, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 253
128-125
vs Minnesota Timberwolves
Mar 1, 2026 · Margin: -9 · Total: 225
108-117
@ Oklahoma City Thunder
Feb 27, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 248
121-127
vs Boston Celtics
Feb 25, 2026 · Margin: +19 · Total: 187
103-84
@ Golden State Warriors
Feb 22, 2026 · Margin: -11 · Total: 245
117-128
@ Portland Trail Blazers
Feb 20, 2026 · Margin: +54 · Total: 260
157-103
@ Los Angeles Clippers
Feb 19, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 229
114-115
vs Memphis Grizzlies
Feb 11, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 238
122-116
Thunder
vs Golden State Warriors
Mar 7, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 201
104-97
@ New York Knicks
Mar 4, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 203
103-100
@ Chicago Bulls
Mar 3, 2026 · Margin: +8 · Total: 224
116-108
@ Dallas Mavericks
Mar 1, 2026 · Margin: +13 · Total: 187
100-87
vs Denver Nuggets
Feb 27, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 248
127-121
@ Detroit Pistons
Feb 25, 2026 · Margin: -8 · Total: 240
116-124
@ Toronto Raptors
Feb 24, 2026 · Margin: +9 · Total: 223
116-107
vs Cleveland Cavaliers
Feb 22, 2026 · Margin: +8 · Total: 234
121-113
vs Brooklyn Nets
Feb 20, 2026 · Margin: +19 · Total: 191
105-86
vs Milwaukee Bucks
Feb 12, 2026 · Margin: -17 · Total: 203
93-110