Final Score: Warriors 97 - Thunder 104
Saturday, March 7, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET

Warriors @ Thunder

NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Warriors
32-30 Rating 1485
Form: LWLLW
Model Probability
12%
88%
Projected margin: Oklahoma City Thunder +11.5
Thunder
49-15 Rating 1851
Form: LWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Warriors Thunder
All-time wins 97 133
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average points 107.2 109.6
Last meeting 94 131

Key Season Stats

Stat Warriors Thunder
Games played 62 64
Avg points scored 115.3 118.9
Avg points conceded 114.1 107.8
Win percentage 52% 77%
Away win % / Home win % 43% 78%