Thunder @ Mavericks

NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Thunder 96 - Mavericks 120
Wednesday, October 28, 2026 at 9:30 PM ET
Oklahoma City
Thunder
4-0 Rating 1880
Form: LWWWW
96 – 120
Model Probability
85%
15%
Projected margin: Oklahoma City Thunder +7.8
Dallas
Mavericks
2-2 Rating 1348
Form: WLWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Thunder Mavericks
All-time wins 110 100
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average points 104.8 103.2
Last meeting 100 87

Key Season Stats

Stat Thunder Mavericks
Games played 4 4
Avg points scored 111.2 112.5
Avg points conceded 100.8 116.0
Win percentage 100% 50%
Away win % / Home win % 100% 0%