Heat @ Grizzlies

NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Heat 0 - Grizzlies 0
Wednesday, December 16, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
Miami
Heat
3-6 Rating 1452
Form: WWLWL
@
Model Probability
50%
50%
Projected margin: Memphis Grizzlies +1.0
Memphis
Grizzlies
6-3 Rating 1325
Form: WWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Heat Grizzlies
All-time wins 32 27
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average points 99.0 97.0
Last meeting 136 120

Key Season Stats

Stat Heat Grizzlies
Games played 9 9
Avg points scored 116.0 117.9
Avg points conceded 122.6 111.8
Win percentage 33% 67%
Away win % / Home win % 40% 40%