Heat @ Warriors
HeatMiami
35%
WarriorsGolden State
65%
Golden State Warriors +4.2Matchup →
| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2026 | 117–116 | Heat +1 | Clippers +3.1 | Regular Season | |
| Nov 2, 2026 | 117–138 | Lakers +21 | Lakers +7.0 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 30, 2026 | 125–145 | Heat +20 | Heat +8.0 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 28, 2026 | 129–117 | Heat +12 | Hawks +7.1 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 26, 2026 | 113–109 | Mavericks +4 | Heat +6.3 | Regular Season |
| Matchup | Record | Win % | Vs Expected | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heat Celtics | 75-111-3 | 40.3% | -14.6 | 189 |
| Heat Knicks | 87-92-3 | 48.6% | -8.6 | 182 |
| Heat Bulls | 83-87-3 | 48.8% | -3.4 | 173 |
| Heat Hawks | 95-71-3 | 57.2% | +4.3 | 169 |
| Heat Pacers | 78-89-2 | 46.7% | -9.3 | 169 |