Chiefs @ Broncos

NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Chiefs 24 - Broncos 28
Sunday, November 1, 2026 at 4:25 PM ET
Kansas City
Chiefs
5-1 Rating 1592
Form: WWWWL
24 – 28
Model Probability
36%
64%
Projected margin: Denver Broncos +5.4
Denver
Broncos
5-2 Rating 1652
Form: WLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Chiefs Broncos
All-time wins 55 58
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average points 20.7 21.0
Last meeting 31 10

Key Season Stats

Stat Chiefs Broncos
Games played 6 7
Avg points scored 23.8 20.6
Avg points conceded 17.2 20.1
Win percentage 83% 71%
Away win % / Home win % 67% 100%